Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.94% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%) , while for a Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.