Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 41.26%. A draw had a probability of 29.61% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 29.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.73%) , while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.