Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 44.05%. A draw had a probability of 29.39% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 26.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%) , while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood.