Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 31.66% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.3%) , while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.