Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 46.95%. A draw had a probability of 29.35% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%) , while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.