Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 29.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (10.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.