Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Feb 13, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Libertadores de América

Independiente vs Lanus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 8.00pm
Platense 0 - 1 Independiente
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Luciano Cabral

Lanus

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 9, 2026 10.15pm
Lanus 1 - 1 Talleres
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Marcelino Moreno

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independiente win with a probability of 45.22%. A draw has a probability of 31.56% and a win for Lanus has a probability of 23.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (14.59%) , while for a Lanus win it is 0-1 (10.42%).

Result

Independiente 45.22% (+0.07)
Draw 31.56%
Lanus 23.26% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.08% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 57.33% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 42.67% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 30.56% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 69.44% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 12.14% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 87.87% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 5.22% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 94.78% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Independiente 31.58% (-0.19)
Draw 50.32% (+0.15)
Lanus 18.1% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Independiente 50.29% (+0.09)
No Goal 14.59% (-0.01)
Lanus 35.12% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 49.95% (+0.11)
Equal 8 12.2% (+0.01)
Under 8 37.85% (-0.11)
Over 9 38.26% (+0.09)
Equal 9 11.69% (+0.02)
Under 9 50.05% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 27.98% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 72.02% (-0.08)

Independiente Goals

Over 1.5 31.73% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 68.27% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 10.23%
Under 2.5 89.77%
Over 3.5 2.58% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.42% (+0.02)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5 52.15% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 47.85% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 17.4% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 82.6% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 3.88% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 96.12% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.64% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 99.36% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Independiente 45.21%
Draw 31.57%
Lanus 23.24%
Independiente
1-0 @ 17.68% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.44% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.22% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.62% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.54% (-0.01)
Total : 45.21%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.59% (-0.01)
1-1 @ 13.45% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 31.57%
Lanus
0-1 @ 10.42% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 5.41% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 1.15% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.6% (-0.03)
Total : 23.24%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Oct 13, 2025 1.15am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Apr 6, 2025 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
  • Agustin Cardozo 14' yellowcard
  • Marcelino Moreno 21' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Salvio 61' goal
  • Diego Agustin Medina 62' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Galdames 3'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Fernandez 64'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 18
Oct 18, 2024 11.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
  • Ramiro Carrera 21' yellowcard
  • Luciano Boggio 74' redcard
  • Julio Soler 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Gabriel Montiel 36'
  • goal Federico Mancuello 54'
  • goal Gabriel Avalos 79'
  • yellowcard David Martinez 84'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 18
May 28, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
  • Martin Cauteruccio 12' goal
  • Martin Cauteruccio 12' goal
  • goal Jose Sand 90'+3'
  • goal Jose Sand 90'+3'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
Aug 13, 2022 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nicolas Pasquini 13' yellowcard
  • Jose Sand 20' goal
  • Jose Sand 29' yellowcard
  • Fernando Monetti 57' yellowcard
  • Braian Aguirre 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 13'
  • yellowcard Sergio Barreto 54'
  • goal Leandro Benegas 83'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
May 1, 2022 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Facundo Perez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • David Gonzalez 86' yellowcard
  • Angel Gonzalez 90'+2' goal
  • Lucas Varaldo 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Vigo 32'
  • yellowcard Geronimo Poblete 58'
  • yellowcard Ayrton Costa 60'
  • yellowcard Patricio Ostachuk 90'+5'