Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Independiente
Feb 13, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Lanus
  • Ignacio Pussetto 52' yellowcard
  • Matias Abaldo 57' goal
  • Matías Abaldo 57' goal
  • Gabriel Avalos 63' goal
  • Gabriel Ávalos 63' goal
  • Luciano Cabral 76' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Fernandez 76' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Fernández Cedrés 76' yellowcard
  • Luciano Cabral 77' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Fernandez 77' yellowcard
  • Walter Mazzantti 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Sepulveda 65'
  • yellowcard Dylan Aquino 65'
  • yellowcard Matías Sepúlveda 65'
  • yellowcard Bruno Cabrera 76'
  • yellowcard Thomas De Martis 76'
  • yellowcard Bruno Cabrera 77'
  • yellowcard Thomas De Martis 77'
  • yellowcard Lucas Besozzi 82'

Independiente vs Lanus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 8.00pm
Platense 0 - 1 Independiente
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Lanus

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 9, 2026 10.15pm
Lanus 1 - 1 Talleres
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Marcelino Moreno

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 45.22%. A draw had a probability of 31.56% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 23.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.59%) , while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Independiente 45.22% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 31.56%
Lanus 23.26% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.08% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 57.33% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 42.67% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 30.56% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 69.44% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 12.14% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 87.87% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 4.5 5.22% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 4.5 94.78% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Independiente 31.58% ▼ (-0.19)
Draw 50.32% ▲ (+0.15)
Lanus 18.1% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Independiente 50.29% ▲ (+0.09)
No Goal 14.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Lanus 35.12% ▼ (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 49.95% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 8 12.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 37.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 9 38.26% ▲ (+0.09)
Equal 9 11.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 50.05% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 10.5 27.98% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 72.02% ▼ (-0.08)

Independiente Goals

Over 1.5 31.73% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 68.27% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 10.23%
Under 2.5 89.77%
Over 3.5 2.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.42% ▲ (+0.02)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5 52.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 47.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 17.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 82.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 3.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 96.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 99.36% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Independiente 45.21%
Draw 31.57%
Lanus 23.24%
Independiente
1-0 @ 17.68% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 45.21%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.59% ▼ (-0.01)
1-1 @ 13.45% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 31.57%
Lanus
0-1 @ 10.42% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 23.24%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Independiente
Oct 13, 2025 1.15am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Lanus
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Lanus
Apr 6, 2025 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Independiente
  • Agustin Cardozo 14' yellowcard
  • Marcelino Moreno 21' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Salvio 61' goal
  • Diego Agustin Medina 62' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Galdames 3'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Fernandez 64'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 18
Lanus
Oct 18, 2024 11.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Independiente
  • Ramiro Carrera 21' yellowcard
  • Luciano Boggio 74' redcard
  • Julio Soler 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Gabriel Montiel 36'
  • goal Federico Mancuello 54'
  • goal Gabriel Avalos 79'
  • yellowcard David Martinez 84'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 18
Independiente
May 28, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Lanus
  • Martin Cauteruccio 12' goal
  • Martin Cauteruccio 12' goal
  • goal Jose Sand 90'+3'
  • goal Jose Sand 90'+3'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
Lanus
Aug 13, 2022 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Independiente
  • Nicolas Pasquini 13' yellowcard
  • Jose Sand 20' goal
  • Jose Sand 29' yellowcard
  • Fernando Monetti 57' yellowcard
  • Braian Aguirre 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 13'
  • yellowcard Sergio Barreto 54'
  • goal Leandro Benegas 83'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
Lanus
May 1, 2022 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Independiente
  • Facundo Perez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • David Gonzalez 86' yellowcard
  • Angel Gonzalez 90'+2' goal
  • Lucas Varaldo 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Vigo 32'
  • yellowcard Geronimo Poblete 58'
  • yellowcard Ayrton Costa 60'
  • yellowcard Patricio Ostachuk 90'+5'

Form Data

Platense 0 - 1 Independiente
Independiente 1 - 1 Velez Sarsfield
Newell's OB 1 - 1 Independiente
Independiente 1 - 1 Estudiantes
Wanderers 0 - 2 Independiente
Everton 3 - 5 Independiente
Lanus 1 - 1 Talleres
Instituto 2 - 2 Lanus
Lanus 2 - 1 Union
San Lorenzo 2 - 3 Lanus
Lanus 0 - 1 Tigre
Lanus 0 - 0 Atletico Mineiro