Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 44.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.09% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 27.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%) , while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.