Argentine Primera Division
May 3, 2026 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio José María Minella
  • Santiago Moya 4' goal
  • Augusto Fernández 81' yellowcard
  • Fernando Román 81' yellowcard
  • Fernando Román 82' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Iñíguez 88' yellowcard
  • goal Leonel Bucca 8'
  • yellowcard Iván Villalba 46'
  • yellowcard Bautista Dadín 46'
  • yellowcard Luciano Sábato 73'
  • yellowcard Matías Salvo 84'
  • yellowcard Stefano Moreyra 89'

Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldosivi

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 1.30am
River Plate 3 - 1 Aldosivi
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Nicolas Cordero

Independiente Rivadavia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Fabrizio Sartori

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 41.78%. A draw had a probability of 33.03% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-2 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.94%) , while for a Aldosivi win it was 1-0 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.

Result

Aldosivi 25.22% (+0.30)
Draw 33.03% (+0.14)
Independiente Rivadavia 41.78% (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.6% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 55.68% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 44.32% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 28.69% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 71.31% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 11.93% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 88.07% (+0.20)
Over 4.5 5.19% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 94.81% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Aldosivi 23.49%
Draw 50.85%
Independiente Rivadavia 25.66%

Team To Score First

Aldosivi 38.6% (-0.09)
No Goal 15.94% (+0.19)
Independiente Rivadavia 45.46% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 41.99%
Equal 8 12.24%
Under 8 45.77%
Over 9 30.98%
Equal 9 11.01%
Under 9 58.01%
Over 10.5 21.86%
Under 10.5 78.14%

Aldosivi Goals

Over 1.5 17.93% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 82.07% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 4.26% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 95.74% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 0.83% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.17% (+0.02)

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 0.5 66.08% (-0.47)
Under 0.5 33.92% (+0.47)
Over 1.5 29.1% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 70.9% (+0.47)
Over 2.5 9.28% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 90.72% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 2.31% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 97.69% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Aldosivi 25.22%
Draw 33.02%
Independiente Rivadavia 41.78%
Aldosivi
1-0 @ 11.68% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 5.24% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.38% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 1.27% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.14% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.22%
Draw
0-0 @ 15.94% (+0.19)
1-1 @ 13.75% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.99% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.02)
Total : 33.02%
Independiente Rivadavia
0-1 @ 16.72%
0-2 @ 8.86% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.28% (-0.09)
Total : 41.78%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Nov 1, 2025 5.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 14
Apr 23, 2025 1.15am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
  • Sebastian Villa 30' goal
  • Sebastian Villa 30' goal
  • yellowcard Roberto Bochi 28'
  • yellowcard Roberto Bochi 28'