Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 37.91%. A draw had a probability of 32.2% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 29.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 2-1 (7.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.57%) , while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.