Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 30.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (11.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.