Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 37.02%. A draw had a probability of 31.73% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 31.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (14.18%) , while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood.