Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 45.68%. A draw had a probability of 29.97% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 24.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.51%) , while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.