Feb 20, 2026 8.45pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Florencio Solá

Tiago Palacios 32'
Alexis Castro 50'
Eros Mancuso 67'
Eros Mancuso 68'
Mikel Amondarain 68'
Brian Aguirre 75'
Edwuin Cetré 75'
Edwuin Cetré 76'

Yair Arismendi 37'
Jhon Rentería 69'
Mauricio Martínez 69'
Jonatan Gómez 82'
Brandon Márquez 83'

Estudiantes vs Sarmiento - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions

D
W
D
W
D
D

Argentine Primera Division

D
W
D
W
D
D

Last game

Feb 15, 2026 8.00pm

Gimnasia 0 - 0 Estudiantes

Goals scored

9

Top scorer

Tiago Palacios

Sarmiento

All competitions

L
W
L
W
L
D

Argentine Primera Division

L
W
L
W
L
D

Last game

Feb 14, 2026 10.45pm

Huracan 1 - 0 Sarmiento

Goals scored

8

Top scorer

Junior Marabel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 12.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.68%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%) , while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.4% likelihood.

Result

Estudiantes 64.53% ▼ (-0.02)

Draw 23.3%

Sarmiento 12.14% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score:

37.08% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.7%

Under 1.5 34.3%

Over 2.5 39.25% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 60.75% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 18.58% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 3.5 81.42% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 4.5 10.91% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 4.5 89.09% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Estudiantes 40.82% ▲ (+0.14)

Draw 45.46% ▼ (-0.14)

Sarmiento 13.72%

Team To Score First

Estudiantes 65.35% ▼ (-0.04)

No Goal 10%

Sarmiento 24.65% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 49.58% ▲ (+0.04)

Equal 8 12.13% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 8 38.28% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 9 37.99% ▲ (+0.04)

Equal 9 11.59% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 9 50.42% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 10.5 27.81% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 10.5 72.19% ▼ (-0.04)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 1.5 49.66% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 1.5 50.34% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 2.5 22.5% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 77.5% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 8.3% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 91.7% ▼ (-0.01)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5 40.75% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 0.5 59.25% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 1.5 10.86%

Under 1.5 89.14%

Over 2.5 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 97.87% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 0.37%

Under 3.5 99.63%

Score analysis

Estudiantes 64.54%

Draw 23.3%

Sarmiento 12.14%

Estudiantes

1-0 @ 18.43% ▼ (-0.02)

2-0 @ 14.68% ▲ (+0.01)

2-1 @ 9.35%

3-0 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 4.46%

3-2 @ 1.5%

Other @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 64.54%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.23% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 10%

2-2 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.08%

Total : 23.3%

Sarmiento

0-1 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.02)

1-2 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.03)

0-2 @ 1.54%

Other @ 0.29%

Total : 12.14%

Head to Head

Jun 13, 2024 11.00pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Eva Peron de Junin

Yair Arismendi 45'+3'
Gabriel Gudino 58'
Manu Garcia 67'
Gabriel Gudino 75'

Javier Correa 45'+4'
Tiago Palacios 64'
Mauro Mendez 90'+5'

Mar 9, 2024 8.00pm

3

1

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio Eva Peron de Junin

Joaquin Gho 22'
Manuel Monaco 64'
Agustin Molina 80'
Lisandro Lopez 90'+3'

Tiago Palacios 8'
Tiago Palacios 44'
Eduardo Dominguez 45'
Fernando Zuqui 78'
Bautista Kociubinski 83'

Oct 23, 2023 11.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Fernando Zuqui 23'
Gaston Benedetti 32'
Mauro Boselli 43'
Zaid Romero 71'

Alan Marinelli 6'
Maico Quiroz 30'
Juan Cruz Kaprof 52'
Jose Devecchi 57'
Gabriel Diaz 74'
Diego Calcaterra 90'+1'

Feb 25, 2023 10.15pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Santiago Ascacibar 53'

Lucas Melano 84'

Jun 15, 2022 1.30am

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)

Mauro Boselli 37'
Leandro Diaz 60'
Leonardo Godoy 66'
Hernan Toledo 76'
Jorge Rodriguez 85'
Leandro Diaz 90'+1'

Jonathan Torres 40'
Jonathan Torres 57'
Manuel Guanini 61'
Gaston Sauro 63'
Lucas Castro 72'
Javier Toledo 76'
Julian Brea 84'

Jul 17, 2021 1.15am

0

3

HT : 0 0

FT

Francisco Apaolaza 25'
Francisco Apaolaza 52'
Manuel Castro 54'
Francisco Apaolaza 58'
Fabian Noguera 90'+3'

Form Data

Gimnasia 0 - 0 Estudiantes

Estudiantes 1 - 0 Deportivo Riestra

Defensa 0 - 0 Estudiantes

Estudiantes 2 - 1 Boca Juniors

Independiente 1 - 1 Estudiantes

Racing 1 - 1 Estudiantes

Huracan 1 - 0 Sarmiento

Sarmiento 2 - 1 Tucuman

Independiente Rivadavia 2 - 1 Sarmiento

Sarmiento 1 - 0 Banfield

Argentinos Jrs 1 - 0 Sarmiento

San Lorenzo 1 - 1 Sarmiento