Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.19% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 15.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.43%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%) , while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.7% likelihood.