Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (9.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.