Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Millonarios had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Millonarios win was 0-1 (9.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.