Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 65.07%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 11.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.44%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.45%) , while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.9% likelihood.