Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 0-1 (9.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.