Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (10.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.