Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Riestra win with a probability of 40.47%. A draw had a probability of 31.15% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 28.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Riestra win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 2-1 (6.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.49%) , while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.