Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 56.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.14% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 17.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%) , while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood.