Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 34.94%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 30.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (11.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.