Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 9, 2026 1.15am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
  • Matias Pellegrini 63' goal
  • Matias Pellegrini 66' goal
  • Lucas Robertone 78' yellowcard
  • Dilan Godoy 79' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Aliendro 84' yellowcard
  • Alex Zahir Verón 84' yellowcard
  • Aaron Quiroz 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Iker Zufiaurre 46'
  • yellowcard Angel Romero 61'
  • yellowcard Tomás Aranda 73'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Weigandt 73'
  • goal Iker Zufiaurre 90'

Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 10.45pm
Independiente 1 - 1 Velez Sarsfield
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Matias Pellegrini

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 10.15pm
Boca Juniors 2 - 0 Newell's OB
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Lautaro Di Lollo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Boca Juniors has a probability of 34.01% and a draw has a probability of 27.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win is 0-1 (10.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.55%).

Result

Velez Sarsfield 38.94% (-0.04)
Draw 27.04%
Boca Juniors 34.01% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.14% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.92% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 30.08% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 44.73% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 55.27% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 23.92% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 76.05% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 12.59%
Under 4.5 87.41%

First Half Winner

Velez Sarsfield 22.63%
Draw 49.41% (+0.01)
Boca Juniors 27.96% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Velez Sarsfield 42.89%
No Goal 9.15%
Boca Juniors 47.96%

Corners

Over 8 48.28%
Equal 8 12.17%
Under 8 39.54% (-0.01)
Over 9 36.77%
Equal 9 11.51% (-0.01)
Under 9 51.72%
Over 10.5 26.76%
Under 10.5 73.24%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 1.5 35.57%
Under 1.5 64.43%
Over 2.5 13.87%
Under 2.5 86.13%
Over 3.5 4.65% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.35% (+0.01)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 66% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 31.19% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 68.81% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 11.13% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 88.87% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.17%
Under 3.5 96.83%

Score analysis

Velez Sarsfield 38.94%
Draw 27.04%
Boca Juniors 34%
Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.4%
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.11%
Other @ 4.61% (-0.01)
Total : 38.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.15%
2-2 @ 4.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 27.04%
Boca Juniors
0-1 @ 10.26% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.56% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.17% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 34%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jun 14, 2024 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
  • Ezequiel Fernandez 40' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 61' goal
  • Cristian Lema 65' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Blanco 71' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 90'+1' redcard
  • Guillermo Fernandez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Fernandez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • redcard Christian Ordonez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gomez 90'+4'
  • redcard Santiago Caseres 90'+12'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
  • Lucas Janson 66' goal
  • goal Luca Langoni 32'
  • goal Nicolas Figal 87'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 22
Oct 2, 2022 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Javier Morales 79' goal
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Apr 10, 2022 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Maximo Perrone 22' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 38'
Copa Diego Maradona
Oct 25, 2021 12.15am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Federico Mancuello 39' goal
  • Agustin Bouzat 59' yellowcard
  • Matias de los Santos 77' yellowcard
  • Cristian Tarragona 90' goal
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 69'
Copa Diego Maradona
Mar 8, 2021 12.30am
1
7
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
  • Emiliano Amor 19' yellowcard
  • Juan Martin Lucero 26' goal
  • Pablo Galdames 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Capaldo 10'
  • goal Edwin Cardona 21'
  • yellowcard Carlos Zambrano 25'
  • goal Sebastian Villa 31'
  • goal Sebastian Villa 53'
  • goal Gonzalo Maroni 55'
  • goal Carlos Tevez 62'
  • yellowcard Jorman Campuzano 70'
  • goal Gonzalo Maroni 74'
  • goal Jorman Campuzano 89'