Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Velez Sarsfield
Feb 9, 2026 1.15am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
Boca Juniors
  • Matias Pellegrini 63' goal
  • Matías Pellegrini 63' goal
  • Matias Pellegrini 66' goal
  • Matías Pellegrini 66' goal
  • Lucas Robertone 78' yellowcard
  • Dilan Godoy 79' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Aliendro 84' yellowcard
  • Alex Zahir Verón 84' yellowcard
  • Á. Verón 84' yellowcard
  • Aaron Quiroz 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Aarón Quirós 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Iker Zufiaurre 46'
  • yellowcard Angel Romero 61'
  • yellowcard Ángel Romero 61'
  • yellowcard Tomás Aranda 73'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Weigandt 73'
  • goal Iker Zufiaurre 90'

Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 10.45pm
Independiente 1 - 1 Velez Sarsfield
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Matias Pellegrini

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 10.15pm
Boca Juniors 2 - 0 Newell's OB
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Miguel Merentiel 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (10.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Velez Sarsfield 39.04% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 27.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Boca Juniors 33.92% ▼ (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.06% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 30.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 44.67% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 55.33% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 23.86% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 76.14% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 12.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.42% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Velez Sarsfield 22.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 49.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Boca Juniors 27.95% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Velez Sarsfield 42.75% ▼ (-0.15)
No Goal 9.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Boca Juniors 48.06% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 48.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 39.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 36.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 51.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 26.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 73.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 1.5 35.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 64.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.87%
Under 2.5 86.13%
Over 3.5 4.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.34% ▼ (-0.01)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 65.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 34.05% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 31.1% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 68.9% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 11.09% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 88.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.84% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Velez Sarsfield 39.02%
Draw 27.07%
Boca Juniors 33.93%
Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 10.67% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.11%
Other @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 39.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.19% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 27.07%
Boca Juniors
0-1 @ 10.25% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 33.93%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Boca Juniors
Jun 14, 2024 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Velez Sarsfield
  • Ezequiel Fernandez 40' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 61' goal
  • Cristian Lema 65' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Blanco 71' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 90'+1' redcard
  • Guillermo Fernandez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Fernandez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • redcard Christian Ordonez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gomez 90'+4'
  • redcard Santiago Caseres 90'+12'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Velez Sarsfield
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
Boca Juniors
  • Lucas Janson 66' goal
  • goal Luca Langoni 32'
  • goal Nicolas Figal 87'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 22
Boca Juniors
Oct 2, 2022 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Velez Sarsfield
  • Javier Morales 79' goal
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Velez Sarsfield
Apr 10, 2022 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Boca Juniors
  • Maximo Perrone 22' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 38'
Copa Diego Maradona
Velez Sarsfield
Oct 25, 2021 12.15am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Boca Juniors
  • Federico Mancuello 39' goal
  • Agustin Bouzat 59' yellowcard
  • Matias de los Santos 77' yellowcard
  • Cristian Tarragona 90' goal
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 69'
Copa Diego Maradona
Velez Sarsfield
Mar 8, 2021 12.30am
1
7
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
Boca Juniors
  • Emiliano Amor 19' yellowcard
  • Juan Martin Lucero 26' goal
  • Pablo Galdames 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Capaldo 10'
  • goal Edwin Cardona 21'
  • yellowcard Carlos Zambrano 25'
  • goal Sebastian Villa 31'
  • goal Sebastian Villa 53'
  • goal Gonzalo Maroni 55'
  • goal Carlos Tevez 62'
  • yellowcard Jorman Campuzano 70'
  • goal Gonzalo Maroni 74'
  • goal Jorman Campuzano 89'

Form Data

Independiente 1 - 1 Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield 2 - 1 Talleres
Instituto 0 - 1 Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield 0 - 2 Argentinos Jrs
Velez Sarsfield 0 - 0 River Plate
Gimnasia 2 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors 2 - 0 Newell's OB
Estudiantes 2 - 1 Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Deportivo Riestra
Boca Juniors 2 - 1 Olimpia
Boca Juniors 0 - 0 Millonarios
Boca Juniors 0 - 1 Racing