Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.69% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 14.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%) , while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.