Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 29.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (10.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.