Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 49.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.25% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.76%) , while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood.