Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Feb 14, 2026 1.15am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
  • Juan Gutierrez 14' goal
  • Julian Lopez 46' yellowcard
  • Facundo Altamira 67' yellowcard
  • Agustin Hausch 67' yellowcard
  • David Barbona 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dilan Godoy 20'
  • goal Matias Pellegrini 60'
  • yellowcard Lucas Robertone 77'
  • yellowcard Imanol Machuca 86'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Aliendro 86'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Aliendro 87'
  • yellowcard Imanol Machuca 87'

Defensa y Justicia vs Velez Sarsfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 1.15am
Newell's OB 2 - 3 Defensa
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Juan Miritello

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 9, 2026 1.15am
Velez Sarsfield 2 - 1 Boca Juniors
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Matias Pellegrini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (10.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result

Defensa y Justicia 30.01% (-0.02)
Draw 29.5% (+0.04)
Velez Sarsfield 40.49% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.71% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.14% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 36.86% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 36.26% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 63.7% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 16.51% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 83.49% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 7.63%
Under 4.5 92.37%

First Half Winner

Defensa y Justicia 25.4% (+0.08)
Draw 49.12% (-0.04)
Velez Sarsfield 25.48% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Defensa y Justicia 41.59%
No Goal 12.26% (+0.07)
Velez Sarsfield 46.15% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 49.5% (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.4%
Under 8 38.1% (+0.04)
Over 9 37.66% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.84% (-0.01)
Under 9 50.5% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 27.3% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 72.7% (+0.02)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 1.5 24.52% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.48% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 7.33% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.67% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.79%
Under 3.5 98.21%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 67.73% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.27% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 31.88% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 68.12% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 10.79%
Under 2.5 89.21%
Over 3.5 2.86%
Under 3.5 97.14%

Score analysis

Defensa y Justicia 30.01%
Draw 29.52%
Velez Sarsfield 40.49%
Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 6.54% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.61% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 1.79%
3-2 @ 1.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 30.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.34% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 12.26% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.52%
Velez Sarsfield
0-1 @ 13.77% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 40.49%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Aug 3, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Amalfitani
  • Valentin Gomez 12' yellowcard
  • Thiago Fernandez 22' goal
  • Claudio Aquino 56' goal
  • Claudio Aquino 59' goal
  • Santiago Caseres 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Ramos Mingo 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ferreira 57'
  • redcard Alexis Soto 60'
  • yellowcard Aaron Molinas 72'
  • yellowcard Julian Lopez 79'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 31, 2023 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jun 25, 2022 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
  • Tomas Cardona 27' yellowcard
  • Kevin Gutierrez 39' yellowcard
  • Alexis Soto 67' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Fernandez 88' goal
  • yellowcard Valentin Gomez 25'
  • yellowcard Francisco Ortega 49'
  • goal Nicolas Garayalde 90'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Garayalde 90'+5'
Copa Diego Maradona
Jul 28, 2021 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ricardo Centurion 37' yellowcard
  • Nazareno Andres Romero 52' yellowcard
  • Santiago Caseres 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franco Paredes 22'
  • yellowcard Carlos Rotondi 39'
Copa Diego Maradona
Mar 28, 2021 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
  • Marcelo Benitez 19' goal
  • Enzo Jeremias Fernandez 22' yellowcard
  • Enzo Jeremias Fernandez 43' redcard
  • Lautaro Escalante 73' yellowcard
  • Fernando Meza 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricky Alvarez 22'
  • redcard Emiliano Amor 56'
  • goal Cristian Tarragona 61'
  • yellowcard Federico Mancuello 69'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Gianetti 75'
  • yellowcard Cristian Tarragona 90'+2'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Sep 29, 2019 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani (Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires)
  • Gaston Gimenez 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julio Cesar Gonzalez Trinidad 9'
  • goal Fernando Marquez 58'