Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 29.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 (11.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.