Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 55.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.01% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.15%) , while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.