Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 41.27%. A draw had a probability of 30.71% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 28.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.52%) , while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 1-0 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.