Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (9.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.