Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (9.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.