Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 43.43%. A draw had a probability of 29.43% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.38%) , while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.