Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 41.11%. A draw had a probability of 29.74% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 29.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.62%) , while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.