Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 45.05%. A draw had a probability of 29.32% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%) , while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.