Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia Mendoza win with a probability of 48.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.97% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia Mendoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%) , while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.