Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 47.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.67% and a win for Gimnasia Mendoza had a probability of 25.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%) , while for a Gimnasia Mendoza win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.