Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 29.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (11.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.