Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (10.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.