Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 3, 2026 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
  • Gonzalo Ríos 17' goal
  • Diego Crego 63' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Atencio 63' yellowcard
  • Álex Arce  78' yellowcard
  • Luciano Gómez 78' yellowcard
  • Stefano Moreyra 84' yellowcard
  • goal Gonzalo Montiel 38'
  • yellowcard Cristian Jaime 72'
  • yellowcard Kevin Castaño 83'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Salas 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Facundo Colidio 90'+1'

Independiente Rivadavia vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Rivadavia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 26, 2026 8.15pm
Racing 1 - 1 Independiente Rivadavia
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Fabrizio Sartori

River Plate

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 26, 2026 10.30pm
River Plate 3 - 1 Banfield
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Sebastián Driussi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (10.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Independiente Rivadavia 34.31%
Draw 28.46% (-0.03)
River Plate 37.26% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.04% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.75% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 30.25% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 45.3%
Under 2.5 54.7%
Over 3.5 24.13% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 75.84% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 12.93% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.07% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Independiente Rivadavia 26.16%
Draw 48.36% (-0.04)
River Plate 25.48% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Independiente Rivadavia 43.73% (-0.10)
No Goal 9.76% (-0.02)
River Plate 46.51% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 51.19% (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.26% (-0.01)
Under 8 36.54% (+0.11)
Over 9 39.33% (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.86% (-0.01)
Under 9 48.81% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 28.82% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 71.18% (+0.08)

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 1.5 32.53% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 67.47% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.18% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.82% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.73% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.27% (+0.01)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 68.79% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 31.21% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 35.1% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 64.9% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.32% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.68% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.09% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.91% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Independiente Rivadavia 34.3%
Draw 28.46%
River Plate 37.25%
Independiente Rivadavia
1-0 @ 10.04% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.48% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 34.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.76% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18% (-0.02)
Total : 28.46%
River Plate
0-1 @ 10.46%
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.39% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.91% (+0.03)
Total : 37.25%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 23
Nov 22, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
  • Sebastian Villa 7' goal
  • Sebastian Villa 7' goal
  • Sebastian Villa 21' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Villa 21' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ham 90'+10' goal
  • Ezequiel Ham 90'+10' goal
  • goal Facundo Colidio 39'
  • goal Facundo Colidio 39'
  • yellowcard Pablo Solari 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Pablo Solari 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Facundo Colidio 56'
  • yellowcard Facundo Colidio 56'
  • yellowcard Claudio Echeverri 75'
  • yellowcard Claudio Echeverri 75'
  • yellowcard Matias Kranevitter 90'+10'
  • redcard Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 90'+13'
Club Friendlies 1
Mar 22, 2024 11.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
  • Fabrizio Sartori 22' goal
  • Fabrizio Sartori 22' goal
  • Juan Manuel Vazquez 45' goal
  • Juan Manuel Vazquez 45' goal
  • Diego Ruben Tonetto 68' goal
  • Diego Tonetto 68' goal
  • Federico Moreno 79' goal
  • Federico Moreno 79' goal
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 7, 2024 12.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Miguel Borja 22' goal
  • Miguel Borja 22' goal
  • Miguel Borja 34' goal
  • Miguel Borja 34' goal
  • Paulo Diaz 36' yellowcard
  • Paulo Diaz 36' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Herrera 63' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Herrera 63' yellowcard
  • Milton Casco 84' yellowcard
  • Milton Casco 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gaston Gil Romero 43'
  • yellowcard Gaston Gil Romero 43'
  • yellowcard Luciano Abecasis 55'
  • yellowcard Luciano Abecasis 55'
Club Friendlies 1
Nov 18, 2023 12.00am
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas