Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 31.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (11.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.