Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (11.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.