Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.42% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%) , while for a Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood.