Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 62.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.73% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 13.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.23%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11%) , while for a Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.4% likelihood.