Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 46.66%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.71%) , while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.