Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 28.17% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 24.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%) , while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.