Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 29.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (10.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.