Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Feb 28, 2026 8.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Alberto José Armando
  • Miguel Merentiel  41' goal
  • Kevin Zenón 53' yellowcard
  • Leandro Paredes 53' yellowcard
  • Tomás Aranda 53' yellowcard
  • Tomás Aranda 55' yellowcard
  • Ander Herrera 75' yellowcard
  • Iker Zufiaurre 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal L. Paredes 15'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Octavio Barboza 46'
  • yellowcard Valentino Simoni 46'
  • yellowcard Ulises Sánchez 63'
  • yellowcard Blas Armoa 63'
  • yellowcard Matías Recalde 77'

Boca Juniors vs Gimnasia Mendoza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 11.00pm
Boca Juniors 0 - 0 Racing
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Miguel Merentiel 

Gimnasia Mendoza

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 1.00am
Gimnasia Mendoza 1 - 1 Independiente
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Agustin Modica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.21% and a win for Gimnasia Mendoza had a probability of 15.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.38%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.47%) , while for a Gimnasia Mendoza win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

Boca Juniors 58.41% (-0.25)
Draw 26.21% (+0.15)
Gimnasia Mendoza 15.38% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.67% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.99% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 37.01% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 35.96% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 64.04% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 16.34% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 83.66% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 9.05% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 90.95% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Boca Juniors 40.12%
Draw 44.03%
Gimnasia Mendoza 15.85%

Team To Score First

Boca Juniors 62.72% (-0.15)
No Goal 11.47% (+0.22)
Gimnasia Mendoza 25.81% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 46.41% (-0.02)
Equal 8 12.55% (-0.01)
Under 8 41.03% (+0.01)
Over 9 34.72% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 53.59% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 24.74% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 75.26% (+0.02)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 1.5 43.81% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 56.19% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 18.07% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 81.93% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 6.27% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 93.73% (+0.14)

Gimnasia Mendoza Goals

Over 0.5 44.33% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 55.67% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 13.03% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 86.97% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 2.81% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 97.19% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.53%
Under 3.5 99.47%

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 58.43%
Draw 26.21%
Gimnasia Mendoza 15.38%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 18.48% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 13.38% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 6.21% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.15% (-0.13)
Total : 58.43%
Draw
0-0 @ 11.47% (+0.22)
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 2.78% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
Gimnasia Mendoza
0-1 @ 7.08% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 3.81% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.22% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 15.38%