Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Feb 28, 2026 8.45pm
Estadio Alberto José Armando

Boca Juniors vs Gimnasia Mendoza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 11.00pm
Boca Juniors 0 - 0 Racing
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Lautaro Di Lollo

Gimnasia Mendoza

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 1.00am
Gimnasia Mendoza 1 - 1 Independiente
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Agustin Modica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw has a probability of 26.21% and a win for Gimnasia Mendoza has a probability of 15.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win is 1-0 with a probability of 18.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.38%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (11.47%) , while for a Gimnasia Mendoza win it is 0-1 (7.08%).

Result

Boca Juniors 58.41% (-0.25)
Draw 26.21% (+0.15)
Gimnasia Mendoza 15.38% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.67% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.99% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 37.01% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 35.96% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 64.04% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 16.34% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 83.66% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 9.05% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 90.95% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Boca Juniors 40.12%
Draw 44.03%
Gimnasia Mendoza 15.85%

Team To Score First

Boca Juniors 62.72% (-0.15)
No Goal 11.47% (+0.22)
Gimnasia Mendoza 25.81% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 46.41% (-0.02)
Equal 8 12.55% (-0.01)
Under 8 41.03% (+0.01)
Over 9 34.72% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 53.59% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 24.74% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 75.26% (+0.02)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 1.5 43.81% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 56.19% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 18.07% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 81.93% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 6.27% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 93.73% (+0.14)

Gimnasia Mendoza Goals

Over 0.5 44.33% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 55.67% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 13.03% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 86.97% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 2.81% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 97.19% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.53%
Under 3.5 99.47%

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 58.43%
Draw 26.21%
Gimnasia Mendoza 15.38%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 18.48% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 13.38% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 6.21% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.15% (-0.13)
Total : 58.43%
Draw
0-0 @ 11.47% (+0.22)
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 2.78% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
Gimnasia Mendoza
0-1 @ 7.08% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 3.81% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.22% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 15.38%