Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 43.99%. A draw had a probability of 29.07% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 26.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.39%) , while for a Lanus win it was 1-0 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.