Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (11.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.